The blue eyed passenger hasn’t set his feet on Pakistani soil, but it seems that the foundations of many sky scrapers (Political) have started rattling. It takes no out of this world wisdom to sum up team Gillani and Zardari policy of dealing with this controversy and Mr Mansoor Ijaz (MI) as one based on absolute panic and fear. MI was no one, nor any claim associated with him carried mass but not anymore.

From the day MI made his claim public through an article written in Financial Times, the government has been on the wrong side. The 1^st half of their policy can be tagged as “Cold Shoulder”. In layman terms, it’s when an approaching sand storm is faced by an ostrich by digging its face inside the sand, assuming that the storm will pass by. Of course it passes but buries the ostrich deep into the soil itself. MEMOGATE (MG) never existed; MI is a Western agent and so on was the part of this denial. To be precise, it took over a month before official statement was issued signifying that his Highness has spared time to look into MG. Media screens and political speeches from opposition had for long placed this issue on hot wire, only those responsible were waiting for the unknown.

The 2^nd half of the policy on MG is purely based on retreat and appeasement. With Admiral Mullen office accepting the existence of MG, the executives reluctantly pulled the cord which at this stage could only do one thing, and that was the unveiling of “Pandora Box”. A tug of war had started with back to back meeting between boys in uniform from Rawalpindi and the executives from Islamabad. The hush up saw former Ambassador Haqqani called back, followed by his resignation after the evidence was provided by DG ISI. It was already late as the Supreme Court has taken things into its own hands, in light of the revelations made by MI and the leaked contents of MEMO. The last opportunity went begging with government choosing to contradict the version of its own security apparatus, regarding the MEMO. Haqqani, a resident of President and later PM House with the aid of his counsel presented an affidavit from Gen James Jones to counter the replies submitted by COAS Kayani and DG ISI Pasha regarding the authenticity of the MEMO, which in my perception acted as the last nail in the CBM/ Reconciliation coffin between the military and the executives. CJ’s reply that for the court the words of our own COAS sums up all was enough, and that’s exactly what rationality demanded. From then onward all efforts on MG from the elected representatives have meant little to those concerned. The parliamentary commission in haste even failed, as all eyes are set on Supreme Court to decide the fate of all linked with this episode.

The 3^rd phase, the one we are experiencing now is of sheer panic and unproductive defiance. The PM on floor of the parliament inquiring that after an year or so he has a question in mind, that how can OBL live a stone throw from a military cantonment without someone’s consent was a mockery of the entire state, followed by his claim in front of Chinese media that replies submitted to SC from COAS and DG ISI were unconstitutional, at a time when COAS was himself in Beijing. Of course this new found defiance proved nothing less than a flare in a dark night, which is bound to extinguish in a minute or so. But these sorts of act widened the gulf between military and civilian leadership so much that ISPR, the media wing of military for the 1^st time went public to criticize and repel the claims made by the PM. Of course, the sand has well passed the neck of the ostrich and now all it remains is the wrap up.

I believe all of you have gone through media screens flashing with statements from Interior Minister Rehman Malik and his colleague’s onslaught on MI. Mr Malik has been passing floaters like MI can be arrested, placed on ECL, might be tried for treason and so on…………………impressive. This is all part of the 3^rd phase I have tagged as the policy of sheer panic. It resembles a boxing game when two boxers are after each other’s head. One of them has taken enough, though his ego makes him stand after every count, though trembling. The coach, knowing well his boy’s ability finally throws in the towel to call off the day……………………………it’s a defeat but the defeated boxer always tells his buddies that I could have knocked my opponent out but my coach saved his day. This rhetoric from Mr Malik and his team have in my view given the victory card to MI before he has even appeared before the honorable judges, designated to verify his claim. His lawyer has occupied the center stage with clear signs that his client has all the reason not to step into Pakistan, in light of the threats and repercussions coming from the ruling party. This has been a height of immaturity from the ruling cadre………….or I should say they have by their acts proved to be the catalyst in MG end game. What remained a perception has now been sounded by MI and his team, that the government and its machinery is all out to distort the evidence he has with himself, once he arrives in Islamabad. To take it even further, the distrust is so much that AG has been reminded once again that MI security should be looked after by the armed forces solely, with interior ministry itself becoming a party in the case, thanks to the statements expressed lately.

Even if MI decides to call off his trip as he did earlier, his attendance can be made possible via video link. Is Mr Malik doing it on his own will be the question in every mind. The game has been played without any rules right from the start. So now the blame game has also gone further from Mr Malik. MI has last night through a press release claimed that he has even evidence against Interior Minister along with one linking top cadre to MG. The boss consent for MG till date was a subject not highlighted, but now it seems very hard to delink this aspect. The next 48 hours leading to the proceeding will have a lot of twists and turns, to open up a layman mind like mine and yours.

The President, I honestly expected would have lead from the front the day his name intentionally or unintentionally was dragged into MG. He would have told Mr Malik to back off, and submitted before the court that as this matter relates to national security, the top office and Supreme Commander will leave no stone unturned to solve this. An official request to RIM (Canada) would have been made to obtain every bit of data, and in case of their non compliance BB service would have been suspended. On his behalf, Mr MI would have been invited to present his case before the court so that the real conspiracy becomes clear. Having said this…………………………………….all these steps count when MG is to be fairly and transparently sorted out, else in the other case the three phases explained above play their part…………………………….whether for good or for bad will be decided later!!!!!!!!

The “Musical Chair” between Judiciary and Executive is on for the last 3 years or so, with one side showing its resolve to deliver what they are meant to (justice) while the latter inventing ever new tricks to dodge the onslaught in the face of this action. What remained a story of intention somehow turned into determination with President Zardari’s recent interview to Geo News. It was intended to be a milestone from Presidency to shrug of its label of doing politics from behind the walls, but somehow in less than a week of its going on air, it has gathered the sight of the watchful eyes. Mr President was highly confident when it came to the response, but it holds true that he somehow lost his way during the course of interview. His response made it mandatory on a common viewer to assess whether the interviewee was conducting himself as the top most office bearer of the state, or else a political entity merged into the top office. His response, especially regarding NRO that it was a party decision that letter won’t be written during the present setup, was enough to make the already looming storm, burst. And so it did with today’s verdict.

The court has left some question marks, but where it has put down its foot the result  are beyond anyone’s expectation. In black and white fingers have not only been raised, but directed to the top offices, including the President and the Premier with uncertainties over there honesty, loyalties and intentions. Larger bench or the 6 options put forward is a different aspect, SC has placed the label of unfaithfulness to the oath and loyalty to personal deeds rather than the constitution and the state.

The mood in Islamabad is highly unpleasant today, though snow over Margalla had all the strength to do the opposite. It holds true that “Love and war is the outcome of misperception”. The executives not only misperceived, but underestimated the building storm over them, and it won’t be wrong to say that it’s “Eye” is yet to strike the shores.

Let me recall that we have NRO implementation case on the table today, whereas MEMOGATE is also on the menu. Mr Ijaz with his arrival will unleash the Pandora box hardly calculated. Forensic experts might be fired last night, but the court won’t buy this excuse. Even if this wasn’t enough, PM’s interview to Chinese Television during the presence of COAS Kayani in Beijing has not been welcomed at all. The rivalry which was overt but behind curtain has been revealed. Is it a signal that things have moved beyond repair between the boys in uniform and the ruling executives?……………… Obviously affirmative!

The planned political martyrdom of the government is moving closer to the edge, with all the signs of a final but fatal showdown. The victor is premature to be announced, but it is confirmed to all and sundry that 180 million Pakistanis are heading for the roller coaster ride on a cut throat island, rather than the one running in Disney Land!!!!!

Long ago read somewhere that laughter’s and happiness have long ceased to exist in human affairs, except for those who have mastered the art of disguising their sorrows into smiles. This simply holds true for Pakistan, and its 180 million Pakistanis in 2011. It’s a known fact that one can defend an external aggressor by hook or by crook, but once the foe stands with you arms in arms, even a wall of steel proves to be the one of sand.

The last 3 years or so, precisely with the new dawn of self rule and democracy in Pakistan have taken us back to the times where we unarguably stood after 1971. Politics and politicians have in one way or the other proven to be the termite, which is spearheading the decay of the very foundation which has housed them. Let it be Railway, PIA, Steel Mill, Rental Power or OGDCL…………..every single institute has been set on fire. If I exaggerate, let it be my limitation but I have been compelled to state that democracy and popular will has been strangled, choked and humiliated by those who call themselves to be the voice of our…………………………no they cannot be from us and they will never be one of us. The betrayal has been of such extent that I am forced to say that there is not a clash of interest, but rather a crash of interest.

I seem psychotic for being so unprofessional and harsh in my selection of words, but still feel that my conscience has kept me far away from expressing my heart out. An Executive which cannot ensure law and order and provision of basic necessities to the masses has no right to stay or claim his supremacy, let it be President Mugabe of Zimbabwe / Rhodesia or Yousaf Raza Gillani of Pakistan.  180 million nation is living on others mercy with no relief in sight while these visionaries are seen claiming success and praising their performance. No electricity, gas or food for us while President revealed

“We have delivered 80% of our mandate……………and we will make it 100”

Even a sick mind would jump to the conclusion that another 20% in this direction will guarantee every Pakistani a free stay in hell……………………………and I expect that unlike Hajj quota scandal, there won’t be any one gifting a grand cruiser for the well executed rip-off.  The energy crisis remains the most vital element which has brought us to our knees, but  it is crystal clear that it’s our “crisis phobia” which portrays this picture, else as per our President version yesterday in a TV interview “All Iz Wellll ”.

If we try to broaden the spectrum of this argument, somehow the culprit moves from mis-governance intentional mis-governance, and there remains no limit to the charge sheet of follies vs sins. Today where the entire world is holding its economical assets to themselves with the clouds of depression circling, Pakistan’s policy planners have watched silently the demise of its industrial back bone. From textile to SME, investors have fled to favorable location like Bangladesh, Indonesia, Malaysia and so on. Patriotism of them is what kept them on this land so far, else business sense would have taken them overseas many years back. There flight is logical, but what remains illogical is the fact that this closure and vacuum of industrial unit has left millions jobless across Pakistan, and especially in Punjab. Now as per the interview yesterday, I feel that it’s mine and your limited vision that we see it as a crisis, otherwise this is a long term policy to make talented labor free for a worldwide “Black Water” style army for carrying the flag of “Hail Democracy” across the frontiers…………………marvelous!

Now we should not make a fool out of ourselves by stating that we are suffering from an energy crisis in terms of CNG. Again an empty brain like me jumped to this conclusion after witnessing desperate masses standing in lines spread many kilometers, just to access a fuel which they can afford. I thought of many versions. Why the CNG proved such a burden when mad analyst among us shouted that it is consuming mere 8% of the total usage. Even in case we had developed the ill habit of using an indigenous and eco friendly fuel, where is the contingency plan in case we ran into shortages. If common mad had the sole buying power of obtaining it and commercial consumer had the will of exploiting high rates while running on CNG, why haven’t the latter been fined, banned or barred from using this fuel instead of letting the common man suffer.  If a crisis like this had brought the whole state to a standstill, why the priority never shifted to the day and night execution of project like Iran Pakistan pipeline, even if it required redirecting entire brigades of troops or governmental machinery? Having lost the debate I again referred to the interview of my President and found that his mentioned evolution has geared up. We always felt that the nation lacked patience and discipline. With the rise and going out of control, the CNG crisis has tamed the 180 million masses of how to stand 3 hours in lines to fill their tanks, and in this manner  embark on a journey of patience and discipline……………………………visionary!!!!

Now let’s come to provincial grievances and governance issues. With everything hanging on the swing and the entire setup on the verge of collapse in case Supreme Court goes an extra mile in setting the issues straight, the Prime Minister has found no other problem but that of creating Southern Punjab……………………………Yes, don’t you get it this whole fiasco is the result of not giving them the due right. It is their witchcraft which has run everything dry whether we take Railways, PIA, Gas reserves or fading FDI………………………..so for this reason lets speed up the breakup of Punjab into uncountable pieces so that “Divide and Rule” will settle everything. Of course you and me were misinformed about the grievances of Baluchistan, Sindh and KPK. This is how nations face crisis upfront by burying their heads in sand, so that the desert storm passes by…………………………fabulous!!!!!!

In short, let your fate rest on the shoulders of a few who can see what we 180 million Pakistanis couldn’t………………….and stop breeding the conscience inside us…………………………………..

May Allah Save Pakistan……………………………………………

Here’s an excerpt:

A New York City subway train holds 1,200 people. This blog was viewed about 5,800 times in 2011. If it were a NYC subway train, it would take about 5 trips to carry that many people.

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TRUTH DENIED wishes a very blessed and prosperous new year to all its readers,

May 2012 fulfill all your dreams and ambition, and shower blessings upon Pakistan and its inhabitants,

prayers for peace around the globe…………Ameen

The twists and turn on memo issue seems to be far from over. With every passing day the revelations, counter revelations as well as stake holders of this issue are not only increasing, but their magnitude has become alarming. With Pakistan’s opposition under Mian Nawaz taking this matter to supreme court, it seems that this memo has become an unguided torpedo with everyone running for cover. To add more fuel to the already raging fire, the absence of PPP top man and Pakistan’s President has sent the entire machinery in a state of panic. Before moving any further on this issue I must wish the President best of health and an early return back home as well as his response to the issue.

                The hasty press conferences (Mr Babar Awan) and changing arguments from the top executive (Mr Gillani) has made it crystal clear that the pace of events surrounding memo have somehow outpaced the executives and the establishment alike. The week promised to be full of surprises as Supreme Court’s deadline on submission of answers from the President, the state, ex Ambassador to US, Mr Mansoor Ijaz, COAS & DG ISI was to expire. Mr Haqqani and Mr Ijaz submitted their respective replies along with relevant material well before the deadline while COAS & DG ISI made wandering minds guessing with their replies on the eleventh hour. The case before its regular hearing has placed the entire 180 million masses on their toes. The Military leadership in their reply regarding memo have endorsed its existence  on the 1^st place as well have given their full consent to a full fledge inquiry into this matter, making it clear that they are in no mood of hiding this issue under the carpet, as seen earlier on numerous issues. The opposition on the other hand shares the same version, with its backing to judicial inquiry rather than the one conducted under the existing parliament. Now the interesting question which remains to be answered is that whether this orientation signals the judiciary, military and opposition on the same note versus the coalition holding power corridor?

                The executive in every possible manner have given their best to make this issue a “no man’s issue”, memo a piece of paper which somehow due to certain unexplained chemical and biological reaction evolved itself and out of this a certain invisible force is tightening the noose not only around their necks, but the entire system as well. Americans have been present in the center of this controversy right from day 1 and it seems that now their interest as well as stakes is growing even further. The massacre by our friends cum foe at Salala was whether a desperate act to pressurize the institutions following the memo eagerly or a flare to distract attention from this issue to save someone skin has in short backfired dramatically. Pakistan’s strong stance, for sure driven by raging public anger over the continued disgrace has left the ISAF/ Americans in Afghanistan virtually handicapped. It won’t be wrong to say that Pakistan’s blockade of their supplies for 23 days is nothing less than a night mare in term military strategy and warfare wisdom. It is like Americans have started singing with pain, though in a low pitch “Killing me softly”…………………………. and yes they are quite right in there calculations as well.

                If you want me to give you the whole equation about Pakistan military and civilian leadership in one sentence, my say will be that currently they have willingly or unwillingly “locked themselves in a Cold War which has all the potential to become burning hot very shortly”. To give you an insight into the gravity of this matter, Americans in the shape of General James Jones have jumped in to prove the memo as well as Mr Ijaz as fake, while the executor of this move have ignored that their own top security and military men have put their weight on the legitimacy and authenticity of the memo and Mr Ijaz on the other hand. Don’t you call it a head on collision?

                The President refraining once again from accepting superior court mandate in the shape of not answering or reminding us of immunity will definitely make the situation more destructive. It is quite clear that the fingers will clearly surpass Hussain Haqqani’s shoulder once the hearing gets under way and it should have been better if the government under Mr Gillani and Mr Zardari had opted for full cooperation to this issue, rather than watching from sideline. But this doesn’t make the existing government out of options even if all the post proceeding evidence has gone the other side. One effort has been made to link the entire process of democracy with this memo, as if discovery of its creator or creators will pack up the entire system. The other option will be to fight a battle to the end without accepting any truth unearthed by courts so that it will lead to a complete state of chaos. In both conditions, they stand totally wrong and the simple matter can be resolved with a transparent and free inquiry, unless this will unearth what they don’t want anyone to unearth at all.

                 On media screen the ruling party is seen thrashing Mr Ijaz as someone who has been anti ISI and Pakistan’s military from day 1 making him someone without any credibility. Well, to flip this scenario anti clockwise this also makes Mr Ijaz the most appropriate person to carry out  a task against the said institution if any one wishes it, any time.

                To sum it up, the military establishment has dug itself in with their statements in writing, making it certain that their will be no turning back from the reality of memo. The government in the above stated scenario’s is all out to go for the climax, unless they come out with a scapegoat to own this letter, which will be none other than Mr Haqqani.

For now, all we can do is to keep our fingers crossed!!

I feel the only thing logical in this case has been ignored altogether, while every eye is looking for brain which drafted that single piece of paper or “memo”. The memo is a thought, a mindset, an ever stretching gulf of should and shouldn’t be between the most important institutions of Pakistan. In the global orientation we live today, state remains the primary actor and all hand rise in its favor. But the point of discussion which always end in vague is the “state’s interest or simply national interest”. The phenomena has nothing to do with 1^st world or the 3^rd world as we confuse ourselves, nor it has something to do with the system of governance. In case you disagree, land yourself in down town Manhattan and ask US citizen about their boys fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan. Half will say it’s in Uncle Sam national interest to fight 10,000 miles away to keep a threat away from mainland, while the rest of the half will argue that its all part of oil & war industry bonanza, where one group wants to reach for untapped reserves while the latter stakeholder wants to keep the boys fighting so that their dollars bills remain healthy.

The memo has more to do with this “divide”, this clash of ideas or the suspicion of one working for and one against this entity called Pakistan. As per the facts or fabricated facts we have today, a back channel door was opened by the then Ambassador to US Mr Haqqani via Mr Mansoor Ejaz, believed to be someone very well wired with US and European administration and defense high ups. The memo reached its destination, Admiral Mullen and then we have is all silence until Mr Ejaz opens the Pandora box through an article published in Financial Times. The stage was all set, and the usual denials from the Ambassador as well as top office in Pakistan of President Zardari made it obvious that something was about to happen. As predicted, a barrage of information and conspiracies flooded front pages and media screen about BBM sms and voice call record, top spy chief Gen Pasha’s trip to London, opposition all out war against team Zardari on this issue and finally, back to back “troika” meetings between PM, the President and the Army Chief. A brave and outspoken Haqqani had to give in once the evidence was placed although accounts suggest that he resisted till the end, but it’s clear that when boys in uniform move to this level, it is on solid grounds. His resignation has been translated into two possible aftershocks namely

1. The story starts from Haqqani and ends on …………. Even a 5^th grader knows it well that an Ambassador in diplomatic terms is just an extension of what is back at home, and can’t carry his own agenda on his own. In this case the resignation was the fuse holding back the spark from the explosives, and the rest is all yours to assume
2. The 2^nd version is that their remains a larger picture than the one we have in hand right now. The signal has been given from top stake holder, of course from outside Pakistan that it’s time for a change, no matter how it comes as part of a settlement bigger than what we are witnessing.

Earlier,  I pointed to the fact that memo itself is nothing in case its authentic, but it’s the distinction of what remains our national interest and what is not that matter in the minds, planning and executing our future. To be precise, the debate goes back to 9/11 with Musharaff extending an extra hand to the US in their conquest for Bin Laden and the Taliban. It remains a fact that the General had hardly any choice to maneuver himself, so there wasn’t a choice indeed. Once done, not Pakistanis but the Americans did the mistake of underestimating Afghan worth/ importance for Pakistan. Their bias policies ignited a renewed debate of redefining our interest but somehow it got ignored. Musharaff internal feuds landed him the title of “Double Agent” which in fact was his desperate alignment from there to our interest. Once he was out, the new democratic setup has also found it better to keep this question unanswered. Their inefficiency of the highest level is reflected in this memo, asking a foreign stick to maintain their existence in power corridor.

The memo did reach the destination, undoubtedly. From nowhere the “Haqqani Network” became the bone of contention, and above that Mullen a much trusted friend of Pakistani military leadership dropped “Mullen Bomb” when linked Pakistan Army and ISI to the direct killings of US troops in Afghanistan via Haqqanis. The response from GHQ, the marathon command meetings and the rock hard stand of Kayani took American by surprise, with additional input from Beijing putting its weight behind Islamabad. So those who believe the memo was neglected by Admiral Mullen could go through those weeks of tensions between Islamabad and Washington.

The decision on memo hangs on this question………………Is it a final push to align policies in a direction opposite to those followed from a decade or it’s a start of an overhaul of the entire system. Most probably it will be the 1^st. The divide between the nation and the holders of power corridor on Raymond Davis and May 2^nd issue was enough to make every one understand except to those it mattered. US has already bowed down in Afghanistan by chasing every shadow of Taliban, to secure their exit. The debate over this memo as a threat to democracy stands no ground, as its wise to replace democracy with government for the time being. This drama is not required to do all this. If they can break most secure channels of covert diplomacy, it wont be hard for them to aid in a few cases awaiting justice at Supreme Court. President Zardari should recognize his strength, which remains the masses. But from wikileaks till today, his impression remains the same that this slot to him and his party remains Uncle Sam’s blessing. Only a revert from this stance can play as his survival tool, nothing else as it seems for the time being………………………………………………

It’s a reality, so no more hanky banky about the number of seats and whose “Jalsa” was bigger. Imran’s troops have really rattled the stage, and to put it right after a long lull there is something worth writing or talking. Khan has matured well with time, as politics in Pakistan is a tight rope to walk on. To be honest, it was a surprise to every eye, not because of the numbers but more because of the electrified masses even after the show has ended. Khan has been chrismatic and inspiring, the two attributes which are essential for any would be leader, and I will stop short of honesty and intent, as politics is a dirty trade and we have plenty of examples of successes with the omission of the last two attributes. So what really brought the crowds to the streets? And what can we derieve out of this bonanza remains a tough ask. Masses for sure are furstrated as well as deprived. Not years but decades of follies have made them loose their confidence in themselves, as well as the prevailing system. The doctorine of necessity, whether it be the ratification of undemocratic and illegitimate acts from boys in uniform to the political bargains on behalf of millions to prolong their reign by politicians has contributed the most to this hypothesis, shared by 200 million Pakistanis. Confusion and chaos are the catalyst to every change, and this is the same line Khan sahab has towed. Logically, the bells for election will be rung in 2013, but with our track record every thing can be possible in the battle field of politics. Khan heroics lately have been calcuated as the ouster of Sharif’s and PML-N from Punjab in the 1st phase, while the rest will come his way later in the episode. His “Jalsa” has been seen as the wake up call for team Nawaz, and rightly so. But in haste certain very important facts have been ignored by “Team Imran”, who did dance to the tunes some night back but this dance can very well become the one with partnership of the wolve.

Election 2013………….Reality Check

Reading between the lines is not only useful, but in case of prevailing condition it is highly essential. Whether you like him or not and no matter how many polls place him at the last scale of popularity, Mr Zardari holds all the aces for a triumph to his PPP as well as himself reelected as President for the 2nd time. The way he has maneuvered himself in the last 3 years has established him as the biggest political mind in Pakistan. His strength lies in Sindh, while his politics in Punjab, KPK and Baluchistan has placed him on the slot of “King Maker”. MQM remains the only threat to PPP in Sindh, and with them routed from local govt and Nazim crown, they will hardly score an upset. To be precise, the blood shed in Karachi throughout this setup has placed ANP and MQM on back foot, with the PPP walking tall (Let the Supreme Court verdict be an exception). In this scenario, team Zardari will retain Sindh no matter how much deprived the natives have become due to bad governance, curruption and ill planning. In KPK, ANP will have a tough time against the Islamist parties (MMA or no MMA) and the mendate can be split, but neither N nor PPP will gain tremendous success from this province. Khan has seen his following grow in KPK, but that cannot be translated into success. He himself can dominate the stage in KPK, but when it comes to party politics he is far away from gaining the ground in KPK. In any case, PPP will be the biggest benificiary from a split vote in KPK. Baluchistan, like before seems to be going no where, with the hidden hand as well as the tribal might playing the largets part. Again Imran wil have some success in Baluchistan, but this will be negligible. Religious parties and PML-N can extract some seats aswell, but all in all it will be the current faces which will dominate Baluchistan, or let it be PPP in the end as they have the power of attracting the winners (One can argue their methods for this subject).

Punjab remains the top prize, and undoubtedly it will be. Traditionally PML-N’s, even last time they were short of calling it their exclusive domain. With Imran’s entry, don’t consider N routed. They will secure a good share, but not the deciding one. The governance, if seen in comparision with the rest of 3 provinces and the center has been exceptional. Imran sahab and his platoon was very vocal on Dengue, and same was heard from PM Gillani a few weeks back. But putting it straight, Shahbaz after the initial follies played an exemplary role in the fight against it. Not from news but our own eyes he was seen standing on city squares, or late night in hospitals providing relief to the masses. The experts from Sri Lanka and their work in coordination with Punjab govt was superb. Having said this, it was a massive crisis and had it happened God forbid in any other province with present governance trend, the result would have been many times worse. The federal govt never came to the aid, nor did the crisis management groups or NGO’s. The surprise is natural, most Pakistanis never heard of it as well so its naïve to taunt PML-N Punjab to have stood up against it straight away. The rehab and relief in 2010 floods from Shahbaz was far better than in Sindh or KPK, and even the anti PML-N Southern Punjab masses admit this. But team Zardari and his allies in the shape of Q will deprieve N of this prize. With Q in center as allies, seats will go their way as well. Khan has set the stage on fire, but Punjab will have a split result. His heroics in polls will firmly establish PPP in the driving seat with another coalation setup, and Mr Zardari as President for the 2nd term.

What if we have early polls?

In a democratic manner, this theory is next to impossible. Team Zardari has got its cards right for holding its allies, whether it be the release of accused from billions of fraud money under their cap or lucrative Ministeries like railway……………..The opposition only has street power left to it. Friendly opposition is what we have heard so much for N, but to be straight they had no power to turn the tables. The only way they could hinder the sins was Judiciary, but by hook and crook and some time indemnity justicehas been delayed and denied in the most convincing manner. N has the resolve and reasons to go all out against the setup, and hints are coming from all square that they are going for their final push. The two other players remain Imran’s PTI and Munawar’s JI. Combined, they can stun the setup and bring the govt to its knees, but again it requires a lot of bitter realities to be removed. Imran’s PTI is novice as well as shaky. To say it clearly, election in 2013 will suit him that any one else along with PPP. This 1 ½ year or so will make him organize his party, float the tickets, make more hue and cry and all will be set to welcome PTI as a political force. On the other hand, every passing day will plant a nail in PML-N coffin, as they have virtually placed themselves head on with the rest of political entities.

 PML-N-PTI Alliance and the Tripple A:-

Army, Arab and America is seen as the key makers of any setup in Pakistan. If all goes by their side, the alliance will be practical, though the interest do clash a lot. PTI is acquiring a share of N’s domain, and one cant see them happy with this. But if the two parties join hand to topple the current setup, this merger might well be under way. Hints have come from both quarters, but AAA will play a major part in this plan. So for now on, hold tight to your seats and wait for the “Eid of Sacrifice”, because the dices will be rolled immediately after it.

Media screens are flashing across the globe with the image of a man dragged through the street, and kicked while its clear he has nothing left to say or defend………Yes it was Muammar Qadaffi, Libya’s own who has been humiliated and killed today. Circumstances are vague, but it was well known that his days of thunder have come to an end.

The revolutionary (Infact Mercenaries) were seen celebrating the death of some one who gave them pride by resisting Western domination for over 3 decades, gave his country a respect on international stage and compared to the other regimes in Africa, his Libya was a symbol of prosperity, resilience and strength. Revolution………wow…….i mean it is better Che and Mao died decades earlier as they would have seen themselves as “fools”………a revolution fought on NATO behalf, not an inch liberated unless NATO air power had done carpet bombing and still they call themselves triumphant…………..its nothing less than the treachery we witnessed in Middle Ages of internal betrayals.

The violence was from both sides, and the result is pretty much in front. Qadaffi’s soul has left Libya tonight but in Pakistan, some 7000 miles away at least we salute you on this forum for your part played in history………the support you have been to Pakistan and a lesson of determination one derives from you…………

to Libya a bright future but on your own strength………not on behalf of NATO and at a cost of your own people………

To Qadaffi…………I am sure you did a lot wrong in your reign…….so is the scale for good deeds………….but your demise in this manner is regrettable!!!!!

During a history discussion some years back, I along with some dumb minds (Ofcourse my buddies cant be different than me) got stuck on a disturbing note. We were trying to figure out what lead Mr Liaquat Ali Khan to ditch looming Soviet/ Russian offer for partnership in place of Uncle Sam. Ofcourse we had a thousand reasons, from ethicist outlook of Communism to strong link of Pakistan’s blessed elites to the West (Most of them having studied their), let it be the growing might of US at the start of cold war (Ofcourse they were the exclusive nuclear state till 1949) to the intended kick back and pleasures our able Beurocracy and politicians calculated well in advance. Somehow, one answer which satisfied all was provided in somewhat this manner. Pakistan had a novice economy, hardly in a shape to withstand its own burden. The leadership at that time was compelled by the economical benefits offered or promised by Uncle Sam against the Soviet offer, which though mighty had suffered the most in World War II (In Allied Group) and it was clear that their offer was limited.

So economy in one way or the other gave birth to the 1^st national compromise or in enlightened manner this gave birth to the so often practiced “Doctrine of Necessity” in our history. History repeats itself, well their shouldn’t be any second opinion to this. But its amazing that how shamelessly compromises have been made even 64 years on, knowing well the prime entity which lead to this menace….economy. When Taliban captured the peaks of Swat, the talk of the town became a single agenda…Pakistan is faced by its biggest threat, the extremism or fundamentalism within. Having become immune to this debate and condition 4 years on, its hard to believe why the debate hasn’t shifted to the current entity eroding our foundations, the tailored and well thought economical collapse of all our institutions and every soul attached to this basic necessity. Money makes the stallion run is as true as it was at the dawn of industrial revolution, but ofcourse when one starts replacing stallions with mules, the different is hardly evident.

It hardly makes sense why this dose of slow poisoning is being provided to the 200 million masses called Pakistanis, and that too so mercilessly. This week saw a brigade of railway employees blocking the tracks and stations, being unpaid for nearly a month. The same story and pictures were seen just a few month back, before a massive bailout from government pulled the engines out of their respective grave yards. As I write, another bailout has been paid by the Pakistani masses for relief, which will wither away just like its earlier part in a few months. I have a chance very often to travel through rail, not because of its service but the strange association and history attached to it. A blessing from our “White Masters”, though very rare. Every now and then one gets a chance of sitting in a group discussing the way affairs are managed at Pakistan Railway these days. Some members are ex-railway employees, who I have myself witnessed in tears while explaining how the current lot has dried it of every possible resource. The same carriages decaying in open air had brought millions from across the border 64 years back, leaving every thing for a land of their own. The same witnessed atrocities never seen before, where hundreds were cut into pieces by our democratic neighbors. They were tested in 1965 when nation went to war, no wonder how much blood and sweat was shed by workers pumping the engines to keep our troops moving and today, we have a railway that is no different that a paralyzed person, staring at other souls for a glass of water, and in its case an injection of money knowing well that its parasites will such every last penny out of it.

The railway CZAR, Mr Bilour has made it to the history by sending one of the most vital institute to hell. No wonder we heard the stories that his party ANP once threatened to break away from the coalition if denied this ministry, and it shows how much lucrative their stand has been, and only time will tell how costly it will be for us. This is happening right in front of our respectable judiciary, the media and the nation but some how this setup has been tailored to keep every soul mum while the last asset dries away.  The energy crisis has already sent Pakistan’s economy more than 3 decades back, with not a single initiative planned for relief. Yes………I heard your voice saying PM has inaugurated Bhasha Dam just today. Well, you are absolutely right, but its calculated time span for completion is 12 years, and I am sure that this is not the time line their acts will guarantee for our survival. This crisis has sent us from everything to none in textile industry, and as per current estimates most of the units have shifted from hubs like Faisalabad to Bangladesh and Indonesia. Last month, when load shedding in residential area (forget the commercial ones) reached 15 to 20 hours, masses played havoc on the streets of Lahore, Gujranwala and Faisalabad. Thanks fully our able Minister for Petroleum and PM woke up to identify that it was non payment to IPP’s and fuel suppliers which had driven the shortfall to 7000 Mega Watts. Some billions were poured to bring every thing to normality in a single night, but for sure just for a week or so. Why hasn’t the nation asked them about the trillions lost by this negligence and ill planning in the last 4 years, about the million of families who have been forced to borrow money just to feed their children’s (UN & WFP Report) and what should be drawn out of this policy of tailored, neglected or intended economical collapse. Ok……….in case this is all not fair lets ask them to fill a simple questionnaire for us

• What steps have been taken for the provision and promotion of alternate energy?
• How much subsidy is provided on solar equipment import?
• Is their any initiative of establishing infrastructure for solar power domestic production?
• What is the potential of wind energy in Pakistan (Heard it’s around 10000 Mega Watt)? How much has been utilized or is their any initiative at all in this direction.
• Initiatives like Thar Coal or other means like small dams on your priority list?

Well try your luck……………….and then make your judgment on the tagline of this piece of writing. Let it be railway, Pakistan steel, PIA, WAPDA or anything, you will see the repetition of the same sorry tale……….the vision of replacing stallions with mules!!!!!